The purpose of the thread was looking out to a year from now (the future) rather than today.
We don't know the future, I can tell you when you see many startup companies all jumping into the "new and latest" thing, you find there are many casualties, both buyers and sellers. Best practice is to use proven components from reputable sources and not focus entirely on price.
I've operated my own business for 35 years come January. I've seen many things come and go, some very questionable suppliers and fly by night operations. I'd be wary of any company that comes out with the low priced, "Blue Light Special". Remember, even the company that had the "Blue Light Special" went bankrupt.
Yes, today Signature Solar may be 5.6x the cost of your build, but a year from now they (or someone else) may be offering something like this:
https://diysolarforum.com/threads/t...hich-use-catl-battery-cell.32066/#post-394021
If you follow the link, it’s $1406 for 9kW / 176Ah. So you’d need 3.2 at a cost of $4474 to match your capacity.
Go for it, you obviously want one because it is so "cheap". They lowered the price from $1700 to $1400, that's around 20% discount for a reason. I think you should get right on it.
You're comparing a Batrium BMS battery system with brand new EVE grade A cells with an unknown BMS and supposedly CATL cells which, and most likely are used or grade B cells. I won't even get into the contradictions in that ad, if you're that gullible..........
And then comes the shipping part, if you believe you can have it shipped here for less than what 32 EVE cells cost.......
I read your responses in that thread, you want someone else to take the leap and the risk involved with a transaction with this company. It is quite apparent. Maybe even why you started this thread, to bring attention to the "cheap" battery so someone buys one and gives you that glowing report. As it is so cheap, you should purchase it right now and use it. Take the risk, as it is cheap, you won't be out much money when it fails. Or it sits for 1.5 years while you wait for parts to arrive from China for it I'll guarantee this unit is not very serviceable.
Shipping is certainly going to add to that cost but with $726 to play with, your DIY being a much better bargain is certainly far less of a slam-dunk…
You are comparing apples to oranges, and not even in the same universe.
If OTS batteries show up here at similar prices to what’s available in China a year from now (like we’ve already seen with inverters and now cells), the 50%+ savings to be had from DIY will be going the way of the Dodo bird.
What needs to happen is you personally lay out the cash for the units you think will take over the market and start using them. Today.
If demand for their "great product" "you 100% satisfied" that is "factory guaranteed" picks up, the price will go up. Just because they might be dumping assembled batteries on the market today to gain market share and push out competition, doesn't mean they will be able to continue to do so or leave prices low, even with Chinese government sponsored dumping. There are things such as tariffs that can come into play quickly if dumping is suspected. You might find assembled products have a tariff, but components won't.
But you are the great fortune teller and know that one year from now this or that will happen. Never count your chickens until they hatch and golden geese don't lay golden eggs.
So while you’ve made fantastic decisions in today’s market, I fear the number making similar decisions a year from now may start to dwindle (hence the ‘bleak’ outlook for the future, meaning ~one year from now).
I live in today's world, not tomorrow's. I can make plans for the future but forces beyond my control may dictate a change in those plans. I make financial decisions regarding purchases based upon ROI in today's market, knowing there is risk involved where factors can influence that ROI including but not limited to quality of a product, future demand, interest rates, the value of the dollar, the economy, government actions such as tariffs and dumping, government regulation and taxation, the costs of shipping, raw material costs, replacement parts costs and even what companies will remain in business and what the quality of the product is 5 or 10 years down the road.