OffGridInTheCity
Solar Wizard
I have a 4-Ton Lennox XP25 heat-pump - https://www.lennox.com/residential/products/heating-cooling/heat-pumps/xp25 - whole house, forced-air with natural gas backup companion furnace = installed new in 2019. Efficiency Rating (SEER) up to 23.5 and Efficiency Rating (HSPF) up to 10.2
House is 2600sq ft, 1997 construction/insulation, and Zone 4 climate (Southern Oregon) with avg lows of 35 Dec/Jan/Feb core months of winter. Run 73F during day and 68F at night. *The Lennox Heat Pump struggles <30F and functions best >40F. Anything <20F sustained, it cannot raise the temp from 68F to 73F even given all day.
I've varied year to year between 100% heat pump for winter and allowing 'default efficiency settings' that use natural gas for winter. Using 29.31kwh per therm yields almost identical results whether I do 100% heat-pump or a mix of heat-pump + natural gas assist.
Here are some numbers.....

One surprise to me is that cooling is waaaay less power than heating and of course in summer, 15kw PV generates plenty of power for 100% solar based cooling. The winter power numbers are just PAINFUL - Yikes.
If I ever replace this Lennox, I'll be focused on 25F+ efficiency rather than just 40F+ efficiency for heat. The Lennox really struggles (and likely consumes double power) <40F compared to >40F. The HVAC company was clueless and I was too when I installed this - live and learn for sure. Note that 4-Ton for 2600sq ft is right on the edge and in fact cannot keep the house cool when the temp >110F which is occurring more often now. I wonder if 5-Ton would be better efficiency overall - but it's not clear.
Clearly with 15kw PV = 500kwh/month in winter months I'm not even in the ball park of heating the house with solar. My rose colored glasses are off (Sigh). To reach the goal of truly being OffGrid In The City I'm looking into wood forced air or wood boiler as a winter alternative for heat - but not sure the city will allow the chimney/wood-burning.
House is 2600sq ft, 1997 construction/insulation, and Zone 4 climate (Southern Oregon) with avg lows of 35 Dec/Jan/Feb core months of winter. Run 73F during day and 68F at night. *The Lennox Heat Pump struggles <30F and functions best >40F. Anything <20F sustained, it cannot raise the temp from 68F to 73F even given all day.
I've varied year to year between 100% heat pump for winter and allowing 'default efficiency settings' that use natural gas for winter. Using 29.31kwh per therm yields almost identical results whether I do 100% heat-pump or a mix of heat-pump + natural gas assist.
Here are some numbers.....

One surprise to me is that cooling is waaaay less power than heating and of course in summer, 15kw PV generates plenty of power for 100% solar based cooling. The winter power numbers are just PAINFUL - Yikes.
If I ever replace this Lennox, I'll be focused on 25F+ efficiency rather than just 40F+ efficiency for heat. The Lennox really struggles (and likely consumes double power) <40F compared to >40F. The HVAC company was clueless and I was too when I installed this - live and learn for sure. Note that 4-Ton for 2600sq ft is right on the edge and in fact cannot keep the house cool when the temp >110F which is occurring more often now. I wonder if 5-Ton would be better efficiency overall - but it's not clear.
Clearly with 15kw PV = 500kwh/month in winter months I'm not even in the ball park of heating the house with solar. My rose colored glasses are off (Sigh). To reach the goal of truly being OffGrid In The City I'm looking into wood forced air or wood boiler as a winter alternative for heat - but not sure the city will allow the chimney/wood-burning.
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