This depends on the following things:
All cells are nearly identical capacity.
All cells are at the same relative SoC upon receipt.
All cells need the same Ah input to achieve 100% SoC within about 0.1-0.2%.
All cells have nearly identical self-discharge (SD) rates.
Sufficient time has NOT passed since last charge to allow SD rates to negatively impact balance more than the 0.1-0.2%.
The 0.1-0.2% number is the threshold where it's hard to get all cells in the 3.45-3.65V range at charge termination. is about the max you can tolerate with a ~50mA passive BMS getting them balanced in a few cycles at elevated voltage OR that will come into balance with normal cycling in a reasonable timeframe - maybe a week or so.
I have done detailed testing of two sets of matched EVE cells from Amy Wan, and BOTH sets required balancing. I've assisted with other builds requiring it. We've seen a huge number of new builds requiring balancing. We've seen multiple brands of batteries including Battleborn, EG4, SOK, Trophy, and all other common brands have balance issues upon receipt.
Your "way out of whack" batteries were likely not significantly more than the 0.1-0.2% SoC deviation.
Cells received from China have not been cycled or charged for at least 60 days, so you can imagine there is a natural deviation of SoC due to SD variation.
Even if a battery is truly top balanced and then discharged to the hazmat required SoC of no more than 30% max, then let is sit for at least 90 days before it gets to the end user. Even slight SD variations can take cells out of balance in this case.
Lastly, the first step of the balancing guide is to build the battery with the BMS and charge the battery to full. If it doesn't need balancing, don't balance it!